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Quarterfinal 1-12016 CHS District - Northern Virginia Event
Red110
141834.8
236329.9
242115.3
Blue103
111122.6
189522.6
61917.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976850150110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#11
34.80.2
32.5→32.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.8
red by 12.2
1111
#24
22.60.3
21.9→22.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.8
End2.5
Second
2363
#1
29.90.2
27.6→27.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.8
red by 7.3
1895
#14
22.60.3
21.9→22.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
Third
2421
#32
15.30.2
12.7→12.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 2.2
619
#25
17.50.3
16.7→17.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End1.6