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Red57
6119.7
242115.3
61226.9
Blue61
556912.1
189522.6
53920.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48540204060801005761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#6
26.90.3
26.126.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End6.0
red by 4.3
1895
#14
22.60.7
21.221.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
Second
2421
#32
15.30.3
12.412.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 5.2
539
#18
20.60.7
19.420.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Third
611
#35
9.70.3
9.49.7
Auto0.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.9
blue by 2.4
5569
#37
12.10.7
11.412.1
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed