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Red48
450529.2
253424.1
206821.5
Blue49
171923.8
387221.7
112318.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100730501502004849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.6
29.929.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End6.3
red by 5.3
1719
#12
23.80.4
22.822.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
24.10.6
24.924.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End6.1
red by 2.5
21.70.4
20.620.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End1.7
Third
2068
#17
21.50.6
22.221.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End2.9
red by 3.5
1123
#21
18.10.4
17.116.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3