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Red92
450529.2
253424.1
524317.1
Blue96
171923.8
387221.7
112318.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93730501502009296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.1
29.329.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.6
End6.3
red by 5.3
1719
#12
23.80.3
22.422.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
24.10.1
24.224.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End6.1
red by 2.5
21.70.3
20.220.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End1.7
Third
5243
#19
17.10.1
17.217.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 1.0
1123
#21
18.10.3
16.817.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3