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Red35
61917.5
206821.5
61226.9
Blue16
53920.6
623616.8
554911.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555620304050607080903516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#6
26.92.1
21.719.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End6.0
red by 6.3
539
#18
20.64.1
15.811.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Second
2068
#17
21.52.1
17.315.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End2.9
red by 4.7
6236
#28DQ
16.85.9
17.411.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
619
#25
17.52.1
15.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End1.6
red by 6.3
5549
#36DQ
11.34.1
21.717.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed