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Red20
337317.5
558720.7
112318.1
Blue5
88824.2
61415.7
327413.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52531020304060708090205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#10
20.74.5
17.412.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End4.6
blue by 3.6
888
#8
24.25.1
17.812.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
Second
1123
#21
18.14.5
15.711.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3
red by 2.4
614
#27
15.75.1
17.312.2
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End1.6
Third
3373
#22DQ
17.54.5
17.312.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End2.9
red by 4.2
3274
#33
13.35.1
16.110.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed