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Red54
53920.6
533825.3
298820.3
Blue47
141834.8
447217.4
556912.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505110203040607080905447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#16
25.30.6
15.115.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End3.8
blue by 9.5
1418
#11
34.80.3
26.726.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End6.8
Second
539
#18
20.60.6
17.718.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 3.2
4472
#29
17.40.3
15.214.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End6.5
Third
2988
#15
20.30.6
15.716.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End2.6
red by 8.2
5569
#37
12.10.3
7.57.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed