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Red59
345521.3
189522.6
173128.0
Blue82
253424.1
61226.9
236329.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64682040801001205982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.4
24.023.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End4.5
blue by 1.9
29.91.2
28.830.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.8
Second
1895
#14
22.60.4
23.823.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
blue by 4.3
612
#6
26.91.2
16.017.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End6.0
Third
3455
#23
21.30.4
15.014.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End5.2
blue by 2.8
24.11.2
21.022.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed