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Red35
206821.5
112318.1
218613.1
Blue15
62013.2
61415.7
6119.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40410102030506070803515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2068
#17
21.50.6
15.214.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End2.9
red by 5.9
614
#27
15.72.6
12.29.6
Auto1.4
Teleop12.6
End1.6
Second
1123
#21
18.10.6
11.210.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End3.3
red by 4.8
620
#31DQ
13.22.6
12.710.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Third
2186
#20
13.10.6
13.713.1
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 3.4
611
#35DQ
9.72.6
13.611.0
Auto0.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed