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Red27
62324.4
556912.1
327413.3
Blue44
61917.5
447217.4
173128.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4850102030406070802744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#4
24.42.9
21.818.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End5.9
blue by 3.6
28.01.0
20.819.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End4.5
Second
3274
#33
13.32.9
10.98.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 4.2
619
#25
17.51.0
13.212.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Third
5569
#37DQ
12.12.9
15.012.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.2
blue by 5.3
4472
#29
17.41.0
13.712.7
Auto1.0
Teleop9.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed