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Red133
44925.0
113722.9
618920.9
Blue114
141328.6
307229.1
108017.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8793050150200133114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#6
25.00.3
24.524.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 4.2
29.10.3
28.829.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End4.4
Second
22.90.3
22.522.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End3.6
blue by 5.7
1413
#13
28.60.3
28.328.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End5.2
Third
6189
#15
20.90.3
20.520.8
Auto1.4
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 3.5
1080
#29
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End4.7