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Red60
126229.9
161030.9
179320.6
Blue106
12234.6
554633.6
580421.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310905015020060106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
31.430.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.2
blue by 3.6
122
#9
34.60.2
34.134.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
Second
29.90.5
30.429.9
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.1
blue by 3.6
33.60.2
33.133.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.5
End11.7
Third
1793
#26
20.60.5
21.120.6
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 0.7
5804
#21
21.30.2
20.920.7
Auto8.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7