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Red67
179320.6
152217.7
307229.1
Blue95
236337.6
428618.9
188532.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628020401001201406795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.1
27.927.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End4.4
blue by 8.5
37.61.3
33.534.8
Auto8.1
Teleop19.8
End9.7
Second
1793
#26
20.60.1
15.115.0
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 11.7
32.31.3
27.228.5
Auto6.1
Teleop22.4
End3.8
Third
1522
#30
17.70.1
20.019.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 1.2
4286
#20
18.92.2
14.716.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed