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Red74
182922.4
618920.9
572418.0
Blue27
335912.6
619421.4
210712.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50530204060801007427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1829
#11
22.42.2
15.818.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End3.7
red by 0.9
6194
#18
21.41.6
21.519.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Second
6189
#15
20.91.3
17.418.7
Auto1.4
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 8.3
2107
#35DQ
12.62.6
15.412.7
Auto1.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
5724
#24
18.01.3
15.717.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 5.3
3359
#31
12.62.6
14.011.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed