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Red146
188532.3
236337.6
595415.8
Blue92
44925.0
113722.9
618920.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128420406010014016018014692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.3
37.838.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.8
End9.7
red by 12.7
449
#6
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Second
32.30.3
32.532.8
Auto6.1
Teleop22.4
End3.8
red by 9.4
22.90.1
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End3.6
Third
5954
#23
15.80.3
15.916.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.1
6189
#15
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto1.4
Teleop15.1
End4.4