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Red124
554636.7
83634.1
631215.6
Blue70
159932.5
138928.4
595722.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908505015020025012470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
red by 4.2
1599
#23
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
836
#3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
red by 5.7
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.7
5957
#19
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds3%Capture odds