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Red78
619425.1
162931.9
631315.6
Blue89
179325.7
188539.1
583021.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729202003004007889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#12
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 7.2
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Second
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 0.5
1793
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
Third
6313
#13
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.0
5830
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds