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Red80
108022.8
33931.4
159932.5
Blue55
152221.3
138928.4
54028.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91790501502002508055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#23
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 4.0
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Second
339
#16
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 3.0
540
#27
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Third
1080
#20
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 1.5
1522
#29
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds