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Red79
108644.3
619425.1
179325.7
Blue90
161033.2
190822.0
83634.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99910501502002507990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#26
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
red by 10.2
836
#3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Second
1793
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
blue by 7.5
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Third
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 3.2
1908
#25
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds25%Capture odds