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Red71
595027.8
28908.3
138928.4
Blue93
619425.1
126236.9
527936.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910901502002503003507193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#30
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 8.4
1262
#15
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Second
5950
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 8.7
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
2890
#28
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 16.8
6194
#17
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds23%Capture odds