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Red89
108022.8
162931.9
631215.6
Blue110
161033.2
236336.8
38430.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66110020030040050089110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#12
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 4.9
2363
#18
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Second
1080
#20
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 10.4
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 15.0
384
#1
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds27%Capture odds