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Red51
260519.3
129423.9
593913.4
Blue84
323839.1
255517.1
290625.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4968204060801001205184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#11
23.90.0
21.021.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 15.2
39.12.2
31.633.8
Auto8.5
Teleop25.3
End5.3
Second
2605
#26
19.30.0
15.615.7
Auto9.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 6.1
2906
#17
25.42.2
19.121.3
Auto2.7
Teleop17.8
End4.9
Third
5939
#39
13.40.0
14.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 3.7
2555
#37
17.12.2
12.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed