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Red52
292715.5
413128.4
131824.2
Blue70
593722.0
378122.9
366333.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576702040801001205270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#14
28.40.5
22.321.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
blue by 4.5
33.00.7
27.928.6
Auto7.4
Teleop20.4
End5.1
Second
1318
#18
24.20.5
22.822.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.6
red by 1.3
3781
#16
22.90.7
17.418.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Third
2927
#19
15.50.5
11.611.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 6.4
5937
#25
22.00.7
18.218.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed