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Red91
198341.4
290729.8
446113.8
Blue57
255726.7
580322.6
322315.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806220401001209157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.41.2
37.838.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.8
End11.0
red by 14.8
26.71.1
24.823.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End4.9
Second
29.81.2
27.528.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End6.6
red by 7.2
5803
#24
22.61.1
22.121.0
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
4461
#27
13.81.2
9.610.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 1.8
3223
#29
15.61.1
15.614.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed