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Red30
321816.0
445031.6
189910.7
Blue45
323710.5
568316.3
378723.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68480204060801003045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.63.4
29.626.2
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End2.1
red by 8.6
3787
#15
23.01.0
20.119.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Second
3218
#31
16.03.4
19.015.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 0.3
5683
#22
16.31.0
16.415.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Third
1899
#38
10.73.4
14.210.8
Auto2.0
Teleop6.1
End2.5
red by 0.1
3237
#28
10.51.0
13.512.4
Auto1.0
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed