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Red105
131831.8
371132.1
292626.9
Blue161
406139.5
198340.7
214922.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081296080100120140160180105161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.1
32.232.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End4.3
blue by 8.6
40.70.3
40.440.7
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
Second
1318
#17
31.80.1
32.031.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 7.7
39.50.3
39.239.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Third
2926
#19
26.90.1
27.126.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 4.0
2149
#20
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8