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Red113
131831.8
371132.1
292626.9
Blue120
406139.5
198340.7
214922.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091296080100120140160180113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.2
32.432.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End4.3
blue by 8.6
40.70.1
40.540.4
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
Second
1318
#17
31.80.2
32.132.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 7.7
39.50.1
39.339.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Third
2926
#19
26.90.2
27.327.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 4.0
2149
#20
22.90.1
22.722.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8