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Red103
214730.3
445040.7
449515.0
Blue113
498028.9
472629.8
412524.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10696406080120140160180103113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.840.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 10.9
29.80.3
29.329.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Second
2147
#10
30.30.1
30.430.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End6.1
red by 1.4
4980
#13
28.90.3
28.428.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End8.2
Third
4495
#36
15.00.1
15.015.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 9.0
4125
#21
24.00.3
23.523.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0