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Red133
131831.8
371132.1
292626.9
Blue85
580325.2
293032.5
451326.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810670809010012013014015013385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.5
31.031.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End4.3
blue by 0.4
32.50.4
32.732.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Second
1318
#17
31.80.5
30.731.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
red by 5.6
4513
#25
26.20.4
26.526.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
2926
#19
26.90.5
25.926.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 1.8
5803
#22
25.20.4
25.525.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End6.6