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Red116
131831.8
371132.1
292626.9
Blue112
255733.9
125831.3
358621.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110780100120140160116112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.1
31.831.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End4.3
blue by 1.9
2557
#11
33.90.1
33.733.8
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Second
1318
#17
31.80.1
31.531.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
red by 0.5
31.30.1
31.031.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End7.6
Third
2926
#19
26.90.1
26.726.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 5.9
3586
#12
21.00.1
20.921.0
Auto9.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2