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Red107
255733.9
125831.3
358621.0
Blue97
594228.0
592031.5
48826.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081098010012014016010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#11
33.90.0
33.633.7
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End7.3
red by 2.5
31.50.2
31.731.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Second
31.30.0
31.031.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End7.6
red by 3.3
5942
#15
28.00.2
28.228.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.0
End4.9
Third
3586
#12
21.00.0
20.920.9
Auto9.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
blue by 5.4
488
#23
26.40.2
26.626.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End2.4