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Red143
406139.5
198340.7
214922.9
Blue114
498028.9
472629.8
412524.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133926080100120140160180143114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.640.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
red by 10.9
29.80.3
29.529.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Second
39.50.1
39.439.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
red by 10.7
4980
#13
28.90.3
28.628.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End8.2
Third
2149
#20
22.90.1
22.822.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 1.1
4125
#21
24.00.3
23.724.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0