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Red82
293032.5
357513.5
131831.8
Blue110
445040.7
472629.8
159530.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67962040608012014016082110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.5
31.532.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End4.3
blue by 8.3
40.71.4
35.837.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
1318
#17
31.80.5
27.427.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
red by 1.4
1595
#14
30.41.4
25.827.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Third
3575
#35
13.50.5
10.410.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 16.3
29.81.4
27.528.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned