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Red58
41207.9
48826.4
460821.9
Blue47
214922.9
38768.4
292626.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555202040801001201405847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#23
26.40.3
26.626.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 0.5
2926
#19
26.90.3
23.923.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Second
4608
#24
21.90.3
19.119.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 1.0
2149
#20
22.90.3
19.519.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
4120
#37
7.90.3
7.57.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 0.5
3876
#38
8.40.3
7.57.2
Auto0.4
Teleop7.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed