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Red98
445040.7
198340.7
358621.0
Blue87
214922.9
472629.8
406139.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079460801001201401609887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.3
39.939.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 1.2
39.50.4
39.939.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Second
40.70.3
40.640.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
red by 10.9
29.80.4
30.329.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Third
3586
#12
21.00.3
21.321.0
Auto9.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
blue by 1.9
2149
#20
22.90.4
22.722.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed