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Red86
214730.3
378918.8
408217.2
Blue75
214821.6
159530.4
449515.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656340801008675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#10
30.31.2
31.332.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End6.1
blue by 0.1
1595
#14
30.40.9
28.129.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Second
3789
#18
18.81.2
15.917.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End3.1
blue by 2.8
2148
#28
21.60.9
20.521.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
4082
#29
17.21.2
16.017.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.1
red by 2.2
4495
#36
15.00.9
13.214.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed