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Red44
41207.9
451326.2
292325.6
Blue77
322016.7
131831.8
48826.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66782040601001204477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#25
26.21.4
28.727.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 5.6
1318
#17
31.80.1
29.529.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Second
25.61.4
27.826.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
blue by 0.9
488
#23
26.40.1
27.227.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
4120
#37
7.91.4
9.27.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 8.8
3220
#31
16.70.1
17.617.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed