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Red84
417326.5
189915.7
357434.7
Blue83
49221.8
290731.7
321927.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81816070901001101208483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
red by 3.1
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
Second
4173
#19
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End3.7
blue by 0.6
3219
#14
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
1899
#11
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 6.0
492
#24
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds6%Capture odds