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Red73
406029.3
36049.5
94831.3
Blue94
298030.9
366344.5
323845.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111270501502002503007394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#27
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 4.1
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
948
#21
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
blue by 13.2
3663
#20
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Third
4060
#17
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
blue by 1.6
2980
#15
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds44%Capture odds