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Red84
323845.4
94831.3
357434.7
Blue59
291033.8
322326.7
293031.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119900501502002503003504008459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 11.6
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Second
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
red by 3.5
2930
#30
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
948
#21
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 4.6
3223
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds7%Capture odds