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Red84
252234.4
407722.9
408928.5
Blue66
417326.5
406029.3
290731.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898970801001108466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
red by 2.8
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
Second
4089
#26
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
blue by 0.8
4060
#17
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Third
4077
#16
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 3.6
4173
#19
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds3%Capture odds