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Red54
407722.9
322326.7
290731.7
Blue65
321927.2
241229.3
446119.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85770501001505465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
red by 2.4
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
3223
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 0.5
3219
#14
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
4077
#16
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
red by 3.1
4461
#28
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds2%Capture odds