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Red79
255745.4
357434.7
445032.9
Blue71
298030.9
252234.4
417326.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121900501502002507971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#12
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
red by 11.0
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Second
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
red by 3.9
2980
#15
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
Third
4450
#23
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
red by 6.4
4173
#19
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
52%Capture odds6%Capture odds