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Red138
292829.8
420529.1
407725.1
Blue95
491132.7
177828.8
307020.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061059010011012013013895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
29.529.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 2.9
32.70.2
33.433.2
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
29.10.2
28.829.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 0.3
28.80.2
29.429.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Third
4077
#19
25.10.2
24.725.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 4.5
3070
#31
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End3.0