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Red79
290730.6
468225.7
368122.5
Blue107
549526.5
408925.3
491524.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9897809010011012079107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 4.0
5495
#20
26.50.2
26.827.0
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 0.4
25.30.2
25.625.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.6
Third
3681
#26
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.8
blue by 1.8
4915
#14
24.30.2
24.624.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.6