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Red107
292829.8
420529.1
407725.1
Blue131
49221.8
382633.3
326819.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10589406080120140160180107131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
28.628.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 3.5
33.30.2
33.333.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
29.10.2
27.828.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 7.3
492
#29
21.80.2
21.822.0
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
4077
#19
25.10.2
23.824.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 6.1
3268
#30
19.00.2
19.019.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.7
End3.5