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Red116
491132.7
177828.8
307020.5
Blue100
549526.5
408925.3
491524.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10694406080120140160116100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
33.133.4
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 6.2
5495
#20
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
28.80.3
29.129.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.8
End3.9
red by 3.5
25.30.1
25.225.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.6
Third
3070
#31
20.50.3
20.420.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 3.8
4915
#14
24.30.1
24.224.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.6