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Red89
297623.0
366336.7
406018.7
Blue49
491817.0
260524.3
266010.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824802040601001208949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.0
33.333.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End4.8
red by 12.4
2605
#25
24.30.2
22.222.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Second
2976
#24
23.00.0
22.522.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 6.0
4918
#27
17.00.2
18.318.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
4060
#23
18.70.1
19.018.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.6
red by 8.6
2660
#35
10.10.2
11.611.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed