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Red75
357427.5
465418.4
418025.1
Blue70
382633.3
49221.8
298020.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271506080901007570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#13
27.50.1
25.325.4
Auto8.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
blue by 5.8
33.30.0
31.231.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
4180
#21
25.10.0
23.523.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End3.8
red by 3.3
492
#29
21.80.0
19.819.9
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
4654
#17
18.40.1
20.520.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.6
blue by 1.8
2980
#33
20.20.1
18.318.4
Auto2.2
Teleop14.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed