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Red60
574813.4
326819.0
403019.8
Blue40
94828.5
465418.4
406018.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547502040601001206040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4030
#16
19.80.3
19.519.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.4
blue by 8.7
948
#18
28.53.3
29.225.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Second
3268
#30
19.00.3
19.519.8
Auto0.7
Teleop14.7
End3.5
red by 0.3
4060
#23
18.73.3
20.817.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.6
Third
5748
#34
13.40.5
16.416.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 5.0
4654
#17
18.43.3
19.616.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed